Roanoke College Poll: Harris Leads Trump by 10 Points in Virginia Before 2024 Elections

The Roanoke College Poll reveals that Vice President Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump by 10 points in Virginia (51%-41%), while Senator Tim Kaine holds an 11-point advantage over Republican challenger Hung Cao. With minimal undecided voters and high engagement among those yet to vote, key issues include the economy, abortion, and immigration. Harris shows stronger trust regarding abortion, and voter sentiment indicates mixed views on government impact.

According to the latest Roanoke College Poll, conducted prior to the 2024 elections, Vice President Kamala Harris has enhanced her standing over former President Donald Trump in Virginia, holding a 10-point lead at 51% to 41%. Independent candidate Cornel West and Libertarian Chase Oliver are currently each attracting 2% of the vote, while Green Party candidate Jill Stein accounts for 1%. In the Senate race, incumbent Democratic Senator Tim Kaine leads Republican contender Hung Cao by 11 points, with a reported support of 51%-40%. The polling, undertaken by the Institute for Policy and Opinion Research (IPOR), included responses from 851 likely registered voters in Virginia, with a margin of error of 4.6%. The poll indicates that voter indecision is minimal, as only 2% of respondents remain uncertain about their candidate choice. Additionally, 40% of participants have already cast their votes, while another 24% intend to do so before Election Day. Enthusiasm for voting is notably high among those yet to vote, with 85% expressing a strong commitment to their choice. Key issues influencing voter preferences include the economy (43%), abortion (20%), and immigration (12%). Harris garners significant trust on abortion-related issues, with 57% favoring her approach versus 36% for Trump. Voter sentiment also reveals a divided view towards government impact on daily life, showing that 44% perceive it as detrimental. Job approval ratings for President Biden stand at 38%, with Trump’s favorability at 38% against a backdrop of unfavorable opinions. In contrast, Kaine shows a more favorable rating of 39%. Analysis by Dr. Harry Wilson underscores Harris’ expanded lead among Democratic voters and suggests that Trump’s Republican backing may not be sufficient for a victory in Virginia given the current polling landscape.

The Roanoke College Poll serves as a key indicator of voter sentiment in Virginia in the lead-up to the 2024 elections. Conducted just days before a significant campaign rally by Donald Trump, the poll captures the competitive dynamics between major and minor candidates in both the presidential and Senate races. The poll’s methodology, targeting likely registered voters through varied communication methods, is designed to ensure representative sampling and accuracy while reflecting the prevailing political climate and key voter priorities leading into the elections.

The Roanoke College Poll indicates a favorable trajectory for Vice President Kamala Harris in her race against former President Donald Trump in Virginia, alongside a steady lead for Senator Tim Kaine against Hung Cao. With a slight majority of voters expressing strong intentions to support Harris, and with many key issues influencing voter perceptions, the landscape suggests a challenging path for Trump ahead of the elections. This data provides significant insights into the evolving political dynamics within Virginia, likely impacting both candidates’ campaign strategies and voter outreach.

Original Source: www.roanoke.edu