2025 Atlantic Hurricane Forecast: Key Insights for Virginia

The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season is predicted to be near-average with 12 named storms and five hurricanes. This forecast reflects a combination of anticipated cyclone energy and neutral ENSO conditions. Comparatively low activity is expected compared to the previous year’s 18 named storms.

The forecast for the Atlantic hurricane season of 2025 anticipates a near-average season, commencing June 1 and concluding November 30. Philip Klotzbach from Colorado State University predicts a total of 12 named storms and five hurricanes for the year. A significant aspect of this forecast indicates that accumulated cyclone energy will reach approximately 90 percent of normal levels, coinciding with near-average sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic.

According to Klotzbach, the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is projected to remain neutral throughout this season. In contrast, the previous year saw a more active storm season with 18 named storms, including five major hurricanes, as per data from the National Hurricane Center.

For context, a standard Atlantic hurricane season typically has 14 named storms and seven hurricanes, including three major hurricanes. The 2023 season recorded 20 named storms, ranking it among the top four seasons since 1950. Noteworthy disturbances in 2024 included named storms Debby, Helene, and Milton, which impacted Florida’s Gulf Coast.

The storm names designated for the 2025 hurricane season are as follows: Andrea, Barry, Chantal, Dexter, Erin, Fernand, Gabrielle, Humberto, Imelda, Jerry, Karen, Lorenzo, Melissa, Nestor, Olga, Pablo, Rebekah, Sebastien, Tanya, Van, and Wendy.

In summary, the Atlantic hurricane season of 2025 is forecast to be near-average, featuring 12 named storms and five hurricanes. The neutrality of the ENSO and moderate cyclone energy levels contribute to this expectation. Comparatively, last year’s high activity set a notable precedent, and the designated names for the upcoming season are outlined clearly.

Original Source: patch.com