Experts Warn of Impending Mega-Earthquake in California

Experts are warning that the West Coast of the United States is overdue for a monumental earthquake along the San Andreas fault within the next 30 years. This potential disaster could result in significant casualties, injuries, and damage, with estimates indicating about 1,800 deaths and $200 billion in destruction. Notably, the predictability of such seismic activity remains uncertain, necessitating enhanced preparedness.

The West Coast of the United States is considered overdue for a significant earthquake along the San Andreas fault, which extends 800 miles through California. Experts predict this event, often referred to as “The Big One,” could occur within the next 30 years, with an anticipated magnitude of 8. The Great California Shakeout estimates that such an earthquake could lead to approximately 1,800 fatalities, 50,000 injuries, and up to $200 billion in damages—though experts caution these figures may be conservative.

Geological studies indicate that major earthquakes along the San Andreas fault occur roughly every 150 years, with the last one taking place 167 years ago. Christie Rowe, Director of the Nevada Seismological Laboratory, emphasized the unpredictability of such events, saying, “We want people to know that this could happen at any time. It could be another 300 years, or it could happen tomorrow.”

When the earthquake strikes, intense shaking is expected to commence within the first 30 seconds. Cities and towns within a 60-mile radius of the epicenter, including Palm Springs, could experience shaking at a level 9 intensity. The United States Geological Survey warns that such violent shaking could significantly damage structures, potentially leading to collapses and displacements from their foundations.

If the epicenter is located near the Salton Sea, Los Angeles might experience level 2 to 3 shaking approximately 45 seconds after the earthquake begins. After 75 seconds, the region could encounter high-intensity tremors that escalate to violent shaking at level 9 around the 90-second mark. The Shakeout project indicates that Los Angeles could endure violent shaking for at least one minute, likely resulting in extensive damage to buildings and infrastructure, leading to numerous injuries and fatalities. Rowe noted, “The magnitude of damage is so great that it’s not trivial to prepare for it.”

In summary, experts warn that the West Coast, particularly along the San Andreas fault, is overdue for a devastating earthquake, likely to occur within the next 30 years. The anticipated damage could be catastrophic, with thousands of casualties and significant financial loss. The unpredictability of such seismic events emphasizes the importance of preparedness, as the next major quake could happen at any moment.

Original Source: www.dailystar.co.uk