NOAA Predicts Above-Average Hurricane Season for 2025

NOAA predicts an above-average 2025 hurricane season, estimating 13-19 named storms, with 6-10 expected as hurricanes and 3-5 as major hurricanes. Factors influencing these predictions include warmer ocean temperatures and reduced wind shear.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is gearing up for the 2025 hurricane season, which kicks off on June 1 and runs through November 30. This year, NOAA anticipates an above-average season within the Atlantic Basin, according to their latest forecasts. They’ve assigned a 30% probability to a normal season, a significant 60% chance for an above-average one, and just a 10% chance of it being below normal.

Specifically, NOAA predicts between 13 and 19 named storms will form during the season. Among these, they estimate that 6 to 10 could escalate into hurricanes, with 3 to 5 reaching major hurricane status. The confidence level in this forecast is notably high at 70%.

Factors contributing to this forecast include ENSO-neutral conditions, increased ocean temperatures, and reduced wind shear. Additionally, there’s potential for enhanced activity stemming from the West African Monsoon, which is crucial for predicting storms that originate from off the coast of Africa.

The presence of warmer ocean waters, coupled with weaker trade winds, sets the stage for optimal tropical storm development. These warm conditions provide ample energy for storms, and the diminishing wind shear significantly facilitates their formation.

The West African Monsoon plays a critical role in the forecasting models for Atlantic tropical storms. Most hurricanes that impact the Atlantic begin their journeys from this region.

For more detailed forecasts and updates as we approach the hurricane season, viewers are encouraged to tune in to KTEN News or download the KTEN weather app for timely information.

As the 2025 hurricane season approaches, NOAA highlights the potential for an unusually active season. With predictions of up to 19 named storms and robust environmental conditions, it is crucial for residents in affected areas to stay informed. Regular updates through local news and weather apps will be essential as the season unfolds.

Original Source: www.kten.com